Articles | Volume 1, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-1-35-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-1-35-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Dec 2018
Research article |
| 06 Dec 2018
| 06 Dec 2018
Can seasonal hydrological forecasts inform local decisions and actions? A decision-making activity
Jessica L. Neumann
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
Louise Arnal
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts (ECWMF), Reading, UK
Rebecca E. Emerton
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
European Centre for Medium-Range Weather
Forecasts (ECWMF), Reading, UK
Helen Griffith
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
Stuart Hyslop
Environment Agency, Kings Meadow
House, Reading, UK
Sofia Theofanidi
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
Hannah L. Cloke
Department of Geography and Environmental Science, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
Department of Meteorology, University of
Reading, Reading, UK
Department of Earth Sciences, Uppsala,
Sweden
Related authors
Joy Ommer, Jessica Neumann, Milan Kalas, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2633–2646, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
What’s the worst that could happen? Recent floods are often claimed to be beyond our imagination. Imagination is the picturing of a situation in our mind and the emotions that we connect with this situation. But why is this important for disasters? This survey found that when we cannot imagine a devastating flood, we are not preparing in advance. Severe-weather forecasts and warnings need to advance in order to trigger our imagination of what might happen and enable us to start preparing.
Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1186, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1186, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
What do we regret about our disaster preparedness? This study showed that we regret most not having taken any actions! Also, we only regret actions which end up threatening our life! What we don't regret is helping others! The findings of this study suggest that the no-regrets approach could be a suitable framework for moving towards longer term disaster preparedness.
Clare Lewis, Tim Smyth, Jess Neumann, and Hannah Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 121–131, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-121-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-121-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Meteotsunami are the result of atmospheric disturbances and can impact coastlines causing injury, loss of life, and damage to assets. This paper introduces a novel intensity index to allow for the quantification of these events at the shoreline. This has the potential to assist in the field of natural hazard assessment. It was trialled in the UK but designed for global applicability and to become a widely accepted standard in coastal planning, meteotsunami forecasting, and early warning systems.
Clare Lewis, Tim Smyth, David Williams, Jess Neumann, and Hannah Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2531–2546, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2531-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2531-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Meteotsunami are globally occurring water waves initiated by atmospheric disturbances. Previous research has suggested that in the UK, meteotsunami are a rare phenomenon and tend to occur in the summer months. This article presents a revised and updated catalogue of 98 meteotsunami that occurred between 1750 and 2022. Results also demonstrate a larger percentage of winter events and a geographical pattern highlighting the
hotspotregions that experience these events.
Louise Arnal, Liz Anspoks, Susan Manson, Jessica Neumann, Tim Norton, Elisabeth Stephens, Louise Wolfenden, and Hannah Louise Cloke
Geosci. Commun., 3, 203–232, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The Environment Agency (EA), responsible for flood risk management in England, is moving towards the use of probabilistic river flood forecasts. By showing the likelihood of future floods, they can allow earlier anticipation. But making decisions on probabilistic information is complex and interviews with EA decision-makers highlight the practical challenges and opportunities of this transition. We make recommendations to support a successful transition for flood early warning in England.
Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme, Jessica Neumann, Blazej Krzeminski, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents a new operational forecasting system (driven by atmospheric forecasts), predicting river flow in European rivers for the next 7 months. For the first month only, these river flow forecasts are, on average, better than predictions that do not make use of atmospheric forecasts. Overall, this forecasting system can predict whether abnormally high or low river flows will occur in the next 7 months in many parts of Europe, and could be valuable for various applications.
Shahzad Gani, Louise Arnal, Lucy Beattie, John Hillier, Sam Illingworth, Tiziana Lanza, Solmaz Mohadjer, Karoliina Pulkkinen, Heidi Roop, Iain Stewart, Kirsten von Elverfeldt, and Stephanie Zihms
Geosci. Commun., 7, 251–266, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-251-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-251-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Science communication in geosciences has societal and scientific value but often operates in “shadowlands”. This editorial highlights these issues and proposes potential solutions. Our objective is to create a transparent and responsible geoscience communication landscape, fostering scientific progress, the well-being of scientists, and societal benefits.
Louise Arnal, Martyn P. Clark, Alain Pietroniro, Vincent Vionnet, David R. Casson, Paul H. Whitfield, Vincent Fortin, Andrew W. Wood, Wouter J. M. Knoben, Brandi W. Newton, and Colleen Walford
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 4127–4155, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4127-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4127-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Forecasting river flow months in advance is crucial for water sectors and society. In North America, snowmelt is a key driver of flow. This study presents a statistical workflow using snow data to forecast flow months ahead in North American snow-fed rivers. Variations in the river flow predictability across the continent are evident, raising concerns about future predictability in a changing (snow) climate. The reproducible workflow hosted on GitHub supports collaborative and open science.
Joy Ommer, Jessica Neumann, Milan Kalas, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 2633–2646, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2633-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
What’s the worst that could happen? Recent floods are often claimed to be beyond our imagination. Imagination is the picturing of a situation in our mind and the emotions that we connect with this situation. But why is this important for disasters? This survey found that when we cannot imagine a devastating flood, we are not preparing in advance. Severe-weather forecasts and warnings need to advance in order to trigger our imagination of what might happen and enable us to start preparing.
Solomon H. Gebrechorkos, Julian Leyland, Simon J. Dadson, Sagy Cohen, Louise Slater, Michel Wortmann, Philip J. Ashworth, Georgina L. Bennett, Richard Boothroyd, Hannah Cloke, Pauline Delorme, Helen Griffith, Richard Hardy, Laurence Hawker, Stuart McLelland, Jeffrey Neal, Andrew Nicholas, Andrew J. Tatem, Ellie Vahidi, Yinxue Liu, Justin Sheffield, Daniel R. Parsons, and Stephen E. Darby
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 3099–3118, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3099-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-3099-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This study evaluated six high-resolution global precipitation datasets for hydrological modelling. MSWEP and ERA5 showed better performance, but spatial variability was high. The findings highlight the importance of careful dataset selection for river discharge modelling due to the lack of a universally superior dataset. Further improvements in global precipitation data products are needed.
Joy Ommer, Milan Kalas, Jessica Neumann, Sophie Blackburn, and Hannah L. Cloke
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1186, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-1186, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
What do we regret about our disaster preparedness? This study showed that we regret most not having taken any actions! Also, we only regret actions which end up threatening our life! What we don't regret is helping others! The findings of this study suggest that the no-regrets approach could be a suitable framework for moving towards longer term disaster preparedness.
Clare Lewis, Tim Smyth, Jess Neumann, and Hannah Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 121–131, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-121-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-121-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Meteotsunami are the result of atmospheric disturbances and can impact coastlines causing injury, loss of life, and damage to assets. This paper introduces a novel intensity index to allow for the quantification of these events at the shoreline. This has the potential to assist in the field of natural hazard assessment. It was trialled in the UK but designed for global applicability and to become a widely accepted standard in coastal planning, meteotsunami forecasting, and early warning systems.
Clare Lewis, Tim Smyth, David Williams, Jess Neumann, and Hannah Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2531–2546, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2531-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2531-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Meteotsunami are globally occurring water waves initiated by atmospheric disturbances. Previous research has suggested that in the UK, meteotsunami are a rare phenomenon and tend to occur in the summer months. This article presents a revised and updated catalogue of 98 meteotsunami that occurred between 1750 and 2022. Results also demonstrate a larger percentage of winter events and a geographical pattern highlighting the
hotspotregions that experience these events.
Louise J. Slater, Louise Arnal, Marie-Amélie Boucher, Annie Y.-Y. Chang, Simon Moulds, Conor Murphy, Grey Nearing, Guy Shalev, Chaopeng Shen, Linda Speight, Gabriele Villarini, Robert L. Wilby, Andrew Wood, and Massimiliano Zappa
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1865–1889, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1865-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Hybrid forecasting systems combine data-driven methods with physics-based weather and climate models to improve the accuracy of predictions for meteorological and hydroclimatic events such as rainfall, temperature, streamflow, floods, droughts, tropical cyclones, or atmospheric rivers. We review recent developments in hybrid forecasting and outline key challenges and opportunities in the field.
Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Hannah Cloke, Peter Salamon, and Christel Prudhomme
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 1–19, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-1-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
Real-time river discharge forecasts and reforecasts from the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS) have been made publicly available, together with an evaluation of forecast skill at the global scale. Results show that GloFAS is skillful in over 93 % of catchments in the short (1–3 d) and medium range (5–15 d) and skillful in over 80 % of catchments in the extended lead time (16–30 d). Skill is summarised in a new layer on the GloFAS Web Map Viewer to aid decision-making.
Gwyneth Matthews, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, Sarah L. Dance, Toni Jurlina, Cinzia Mazzetti, and Christel Prudhomme
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 26, 2939–2968, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2939-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-2939-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The European Flood Awareness System creates flood forecasts for up to 15 d in the future for the whole of Europe which are made available to local authorities. These forecasts can be erroneous because the weather forecasts include errors or because the hydrological model used does not represent the flow in the rivers correctly. We found that, by using recent observations and a model trained with past observations and forecasts, the real-time forecast can be corrected, thus becoming more useful.
Vincent Vionnet, Colleen Mortimer, Mike Brady, Louise Arnal, and Ross Brown
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 4603–4619, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4603-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-4603-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Water equivalent of snow cover (SWE) is a key variable for water management, hydrological forecasting and climate monitoring. A new Canadian SWE dataset (CanSWE) is presented in this paper. It compiles data collected by multiple agencies and companies at more than 2500 different locations across Canada over the period 1928–2020. Snow depth and derived bulk snow density are also included when available.
Chloe Brimicombe, Claudia Di Napoli, Rosalind Cornforth, Florian Pappenberger, Celia Petty, and Hannah L. Cloke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-242, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2021-242, 2021
Revised manuscript not accepted
Short summary
Short summary
Heatwaves are an increasing risk to African communities. This hazard can have a negative impact on peoples lives and in some cases results in their death. This study shows new information about heatwave characteristics through a list of heatwave events that have been reported for the African continent from 1980 until 2020. Case studies are useful helps to inform the development of early warning systems and forecasting, which is an urgent priority and needs significant improvement.
Jamie Towner, Andrea Ficchí, Hannah L. Cloke, Juan Bazo, Erin Coughlan de Perez, and Elisabeth M. Stephens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3875–3895, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3875-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3875-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We examine whether several climate indices alter the magnitude, timing and duration of floods in the Amazon. We find significant changes in both flood magnitude and duration, particularly in the north-eastern Amazon for negative SST years in the central Pacific Ocean. This response is not repeated when the negative anomaly is positioned further east. These results have important implications for both social and physical sectors working towards the improvement of flood early warning systems.
Sazzad Hossain, Hannah L. Cloke, Andrea Ficchì, Andrew G. Turner, and Elisabeth M. Stephens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-97, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-97, 2021
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
Hydrometeorological drivers are investigated to study three different flood types: long duration, rapid rise and high water level of the Brahmaputra river basin in Bangladesh. Our results reveal that long duration floods have been driven by basin-wide rainfall whereas rapid rate of rise due to more localized rainfall. We find that recent record high water levels are not coincident with extreme river flows. Understanding these drivers is key for flood forecasting and early warning.
Shaun Harrigan, Ervin Zsoter, Lorenzo Alfieri, Christel Prudhomme, Peter Salamon, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christopher Barnard, Hannah Cloke, and Florian Pappenberger
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 2043–2060, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2043-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-2043-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
A new river discharge reanalysis dataset is produced operationally by coupling ECMWF's latest global atmospheric reanalysis, ERA5, with the hydrological modelling component of the Global Flood Awareness System (GloFAS). The GloFAS-ERA5 reanalysis is a global gridded dataset with a horizontal resolution of 0.1° at a daily time step and is freely available from 1979 until near real time. The evaluation against observations shows that the GloFAS-ERA5 reanalysis was skilful in 86 % of catchments.
Louise Arnal, Liz Anspoks, Susan Manson, Jessica Neumann, Tim Norton, Elisabeth Stephens, Louise Wolfenden, and Hannah Louise Cloke
Geosci. Commun., 3, 203–232, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-203-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The Environment Agency (EA), responsible for flood risk management in England, is moving towards the use of probabilistic river flood forecasts. By showing the likelihood of future floods, they can allow earlier anticipation. But making decisions on probabilistic information is complex and interviews with EA decision-makers highlight the practical challenges and opportunities of this transition. We make recommendations to support a successful transition for flood early warning in England.
Jamie Towner, Hannah L. Cloke, Ervin Zsoter, Zachary Flamig, Jannis M. Hoch, Juan Bazo, Erin Coughlan de Perez, and Elisabeth M. Stephens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3057–3080, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3057-2019, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-3057-2019, 2019
Short summary
Short summary
This study presents an intercomparison analysis of eight global hydrological models (GHMs), assessing their ability to simulate peak river flows in the Amazon basin. Results indicate that the meteorological input is the most influential component of the hydrological modelling chain, with the recent ERA-5 reanalysis dataset significantly improving the ability to simulate flood peaks in the Peruvian Amazon. In contrast, calibration of the Lisflood routing model was found to have no impact.
Sazzad Hossain, Hannah L. Cloke, Andrea Ficchì, Andrew G. Turner, and Elisabeth Stephens
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-286, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2019-286, 2019
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Rebecca Emerton, Ervin Zsoter, Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Davide Muraro, Christel Prudhomme, Elisabeth M. Stephens, Peter Salamon, and Florian Pappenberger
Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 3327–3346, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
Global overviews of upcoming flood and drought events are key for many applications from agriculture to disaster risk reduction. Seasonal forecasts are designed to provide early indications of such events weeks or even months in advance. This paper introduces GloFAS-Seasonal, the first operational global-scale seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system producing openly available forecasts of high and low river flow out to 4 months ahead.
Louise Arnal, Hannah L. Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Christel Prudhomme, Jessica Neumann, Blazej Krzeminski, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents a new operational forecasting system (driven by atmospheric forecasts), predicting river flow in European rivers for the next 7 months. For the first month only, these river flow forecasts are, on average, better than predictions that do not make use of atmospheric forecasts. Overall, this forecasting system can predict whether abnormally high or low river flows will occur in the next 7 months in many parts of Europe, and could be valuable for various applications.
Louise Arnal, Maria-Helena Ramos, Erin Coughlan de Perez, Hannah Louise Cloke, Elisabeth Stephens, Fredrik Wetterhall, Schalk Jan van Andel, and Florian Pappenberger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3109–3128, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
Forecasts are produced as probabilities of occurrence of specific events, which is both an added value and a challenge for users. This paper presents a game on flood protection, "How much are you prepared to pay for a forecast?", which investigated how users perceive the value of forecasts and are willing to pay for them when making decisions. It shows that users are mainly influenced by the perceived quality of the forecasts, their need for the information and their degree of risk tolerance.
Dave MacLeod, Hannah Cloke, Florian Pappenberger, and Antje Weisheimer
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2737–2743, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-2737-2016, 2016
Short summary
Short summary
Soil moisture memory is a key aspect of seasonal climate predictions, through feedback between the land surface and the atmosphere. Estimates have been made of the length of soil moisture memory; however, we show here how estimates of memory show large variation with uncertain model parameters. Explicit representation of model uncertainty may then improve the realism of simulations and seasonal climate forecasts.
G. Balsamo, C. Albergel, A. Beljaars, S. Boussetta, E. Brun, H. Cloke, D. Dee, E. Dutra, J. Muñoz-Sabater, F. Pappenberger, P. de Rosnay, T. Stockdale, and F. Vitart
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 389–407, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-389-2015, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-19-389-2015, 2015
Short summary
Short summary
ERA-Interim/Land is a global land surface reanalysis covering the period 1979–2010. It describes the evolution of soil moisture, soil temperature and snowpack. ERA-Interim/Land includes a number of parameterization improvements in the land surface scheme with respect to the original ERA-Interim and a precipitation bias correction based on GPCP. A selection of verification results show the added value in representing the terrestrial water cycle and its main land surface storages and fluxes.
C. C. Sampson, T. J. Fewtrell, F. O'Loughlin, F. Pappenberger, P. B. Bates, J. E. Freer, and H. L. Cloke
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2305–2324, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-18-2305-2014, 2014
F. Wetterhall, F. Pappenberger, L. Alfieri, H. L. Cloke, J. Thielen-del Pozo, S. Balabanova, J. Daňhelka, A. Vogelbacher, P. Salamon, I. Carrasco, A. J. Cabrera-Tordera, M. Corzo-Toscano, M. Garcia-Padilla, R. J. Garcia-Sanchez, C. Ardilouze, S. Jurela, B. Terek, A. Csik, J. Casey, G. Stankūnavičius, V. Ceres, E. Sprokkereef, J. Stam, E. Anghel, D. Vladikovic, C. Alionte Eklund, N. Hjerdt, H. Djerv, F. Holmberg, J. Nilsson, K. Nyström, M. Sušnik, M. Hazlinger, and M. Holubecka
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17, 4389–4399, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4389-2013, 2013
Related subject area
Geoscience education
The weather today rocks or sucks for my tree: exploring the understanding of climate impacts on forests at high school level through tweets
A collaborative adaptation game for promoting climate action: Minions of Disruptions™
Jupyter Book as an open online teaching environment in the geosciences: Lessons learned from Geo-SfM and Geo-UAV
Children's books for research-based outreach and science communication pedagogy
Climate Denial – the Antithesis of Climate Education: A Review
Arctic Tectonics and Volcanism: a multi-scale, multidisciplinary educational approach
“Unless someone like you cares a whole awful lot, nothing is going to get better”: an environmental discourse analysis of animated films The Lorax (2012) and Tomorrow (2019)
The Rock Garden: a preliminary assessment of how campus-based field skills training impacts student confidence in real-world fieldwork
Water and Us: tales and hands-on laboratories to educate about sustainable and nonconflictual water resources management
Climate READY: A three-semester youth empowerment program
GC Insights: The crystal structures behind mineral properties – a case study of using TotBlocks in an undergraduate optical mineralogy lab
Paleontology-themed comics and graphic novels, their potential for scientific outreach, and the bilingual graphic novel EUROPASAURUS – Life on Jurassic Islands
Handwritten letters and photo albums linking geoscientists with school classes
Transformation of geological sciences and geological engineering field methods course to remote delivery using manual, virtual, and blended tools in fall 2020
GC Insights: Communicating Climate Change – Immersive Sonification for the Piano
Building confidence in STEM students through breaking (unseen) barriers
The potential for using video games to teach geoscience: learning about the geology and geomorphology of Hokkaido (Japan) from playing Pokémon Legends: Arceus
Learning outcomes, learning support, and cohort cohesion on a virtual field trip: an analysis of student and staff perceptions
The perception of palaeontology in commercial off-the-shelf video games and an assessment of their potential as educational tools
GC Insights: Diversifying the geosciences in higher education: a manifesto for change
A snapshot sample on how COVID-19 impacted and holds up a mirror to European water education
Virtual field experiences in a web-based video game environment: open-ended examples of existing and fictional field sites
Virtual field trips utilizing virtual outcrop: construction, delivery and implications for the future
GC Insights: Geoscience students' experience of writing academic poetry as an aid to their science education
The imaginary eruption – volcanic activity through kids' eyes
A physical concept in the press: the case of the jet stream
W.A.T.E.R. – a structured approach for training on advanced measurement and experimental research
GC Insights: Space sector careers resources in the UK need a greater diversity of roles
A remote field course implementing high-resolution topography acquisition with geomorphic applications
Virtual strike and dip – advancing inclusive and accessible field geology
From a virtual field trip to geologically reasoned decisions in Yosemite Valley
Introduction to teaching science with three-dimensional images of dinosaur footprints from Cristo Rey, New Mexico
Teaching climate risk for water planning: a pilot training for tertiary students and practitioners in Brazil
Identifying community values related to heat: recommendations for forecast and health risk communication
Editorial: Geoscience communication – planning to make it publishable
Pandemic Minecrafting: an analysis of the perceptions of and lessons learned from a gamified virtual geology field camp
Multi-scale virtual field experience: sedimentology and stratigraphy of Grand Ledge, Michigan, USA
Teaching with digital geology in the high Arctic: opportunities and challenges
Virtual mapping and analytical data integration: a teaching module using Precambrian crystalline basement in Colorado's Front Range (USA)
Breaking the Silos: an online serious game for multi-risk disaster risk reduction (DRR) management
Virtual field trips as a tool for indirect geomorphological experience: a case study from the southeastern part of the Gulf of Corinth, Greece
Development and implementation of virtual field teaching resources: two karst geomorphology modules and three virtual capstone pathways
The Flat Earth satire: using science theater to debunk absurd theories
Using paired teaching for earthquake education in schools
A role for virtual outcrop models in blended learning – improved 3D thinking and positive perceptions of learning
Introducing electronic circuits and hydrological models to postsecondary physical geography and environmental science students: systems science, circuit theory, construction, and calibration
Evaluating participants' experience of extended interaction with cutting-edge physics research through the PRiSE “research in schools” programme
Schools of all backgrounds can do physics research – on the accessibility and equity of the Physics Research in School Environments (PRiSE) approach to independent research projects
A flexible, open, and interactive digital platform to support online and blended experiential learning environments: Thinglink and thin sections
Forum theatre as a tool for unveiling gender issues in science, technology, engineering and mathematics (STEM) working environments
Thomas Mölg, Jan C. Schubert, Annette Debel, Steffen Höhnle, Kathy Steppe, Sibille Wehrmann, and Achim Bräuning
Geosci. Commun., 7, 215–225, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-215-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-215-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
We examine the understanding of weather and climate impacts on forest health in high school students. Climate physics, tree ring science, and educational research collaborate to provide an online platform that captures the students’ observations, showing they translate the measured weather and basic tree responses well. However, students hardly ever detect the causal connections. This result will help refine future classroom concepts and public climate change communication on changing forests.
Minja Sillanpää, AnaCapri Mauro, Minttu Hänninen, Sam Illingworth, and Mo Hamza
Geosci. Commun., 7, 167–193, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-167-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-167-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Minions of Disruptions is a climate change game designed as a communication tool for groups that do not regularly engage with the topic. In our research, we find that the game is liked by the general public because it encourages collective action. This is important because most local climate challenges can only be solved by groups and because gameplay can increase collaboration. The results of this study may be used to develop communication tools that better consider the needs of the audiences.
Peter Betlem, Nil Rodes, Sara Mollie Cohen, and Marie Vander Kloet
Geosci. Commun. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2024-6, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2024-6, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for GC
Short summary
Short summary
Together with our students, we co-created two open geoscientific course modules using the Jupyter Book framework. Students were happy with the framework's accessibility, inclusivity, interactivity, and multimedia content and eagerly contributed to the learning materials through Github when given the opportunity. Our efforts are an important step in the development of open educational geoscientific content co-created with input from technical experts, social scientists, and students alike.
Chelsea N. Peters
Geosci. Commun., 7, 81–90, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-81-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-81-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, I describe two projects that use children's books as science communication tools. The first project is the writing, illustration, translation, and distribution of a children's book that describes the environment of coastal Bangladesh. The second project is an undergraduate course that requires students to produce a children's book on a scientific topic. Both projects demonstrate the potential impact of children's books on students, scientists, and local communities.
Gerald Kutney
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-339, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-339, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
This review examines the current state of global climate education, which shows that a problem exists and considers the causes and possible solutions. The problem does not appear to be climate education directly, or climate communication or climate science. Climate denial is the external force blunting the impact of climate education. Specific examples of climate denial in schools in North America and Europe are examined and how to deal with it.
Kim Senger, Grace Shephard, Fenna Ammerlaan, Owen Anfinson, Pascal Audet, Bernard Coakley, Victoria Ershova, Jan Inge Faleide, Sten-Andreas Grundvåg, Rafael Kenji Horota, Karthik Iyer, Julian Janocha, Morgan Jones, Alexander Minakov, Margaret Odlum, Anna M. R. Sartell, Andrew Schaeffer, Daniel Stockli, Marie A. Vander Kloet, and Carmen Gaina
Geosci. Commun. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2024-3, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2024-3, 2024
Revised manuscript accepted for GC
Short summary
Short summary
The article describes a course that we have developed at the University Centre in Svalbard that covers many aspects of Arctic Geology. The students experience this from a wide range of lecturers, focussing both on the small and larger scales, and covering many geoscientific disciplines.
Mohammad Mizan-Rahman
Geosci. Commun., 7, 63–79, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-63-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-63-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The study demonstrates that environmentally driven animated films can shape the discourse of their audiences. This study also demonstrates how narratives from films such as The Lorax and Tomorrow can lead an audience to consider large-scale environmental issues.
Thomas W. Wong Hearing, Stijn Dewaele, Stijn Albers, Julie De Weirdt, and Marc De Batist
Geosci. Commun., 7, 17–33, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-17-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-17-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Field skills training is an integral part of geoscience education, but long field courses away from home can be barriers to accessing that education and mean that students do not get regular field skills practice. We built the Rock Garden, an on-campus field course at Ghent University, Belgium, to make our field skills training more accessible. Here, we present preliminary data that suggest on-campus field skills training provision can increase students' confidence during real-world fieldwork.
Francesca Munerol, Francesco Avanzi, Eleonora Panizza, Marco Altamura, Simone Gabellani, Lara Polo, Marina Mantini, Barbara Alessandri, and Luca Ferraris
Geosci. Commun., 7, 1–15, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-1-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-1-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
To contribute to advancing education in a warming climate and prepare the next generations to play their role in future societies, we designed “Water and Us”, a three-module initiative focusing on the natural and anthropogenic water cycle, climate change, and conflicts. This study aims to introduce the initiative's educational objectives, methods, and early results.
Rachel L. Wellman, Anne Henderson, Ray Coleman, Christopher Hill, and Bradford T. Davey
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-139, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-139, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
The Climate Resilience and Education for Dedicated Youth (Climate READY) Program was designed to teach 15–18-year-old students in low socioeconomic communities to be agents of change in their community and to help prepare South Florida for the hazards of climate change. Students were taught the basics of climate, ways to be resilient to change, and how to become engaged with their communities. Students felt more prepared, confident, and able to communicate within their communities.
Derek D. V. Leung and Paige E. dePolo
Geosci. Commun., 6, 125–129, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-125-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-125-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We used 3D-printed building blocks (TotBlocks) in an undergraduate optical mineralogy lab session to illustrate the links between crystal structures and the properties of minerals. Students built mica, pyroxene, and amphibole structures. We observed an improved understanding of cleavage (how minerals break) and pleochroism (how light interacts with minerals), but understanding did not improve with more abstract concepts. TotBlocks hold potential as a teaching tool in mineralogy classrooms.
Oliver Wings, Jan Fischer, Joschua Knüppe, Henning Ahlers, Sebastian Körnig, and Arila-Maria Perl
Geosci. Commun., 6, 45–74, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-45-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-45-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
We give an overview of influential comics and graphic novels on paleontological themes, especially dinosaurs. We explain their different forms of representation and narration, and how they were influenced by the contemporary state of knowledge. The second part deals with the creation of the bilingual graphic novel EUROPASAURUS – Life on Jurassic Islands, a textless comic book, and how this book was perceived by the public.
Mathew Stiller-Reeve, Claudio Argentino, Kate Alyse Waghorn, Sunil Vadakkepuliyambatta, Dimitri Kalenitchenko, and Giuliana Panieri
Geosci. Commun., 6, 1–9, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-1-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-6-1-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, we describe a process in which geoscientists corresponded with school classes in three different countries using handwritten letters and Polaroid photo albums. The stories they told were based on their experiences during a research expedition in the Arctic. We evaluated the process and show some of the benefits the students experienced from their correspondence with the scientists in this way.
Jennifer Jane Day
Geosci. Commun., 5, 381–395, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-381-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-381-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Geological (Engineering) Field Methods is a core course at Queen’s University in Kingston, Canada, where students learn how to investigate the Earth. Typically, this course involves weekly field trips to visit a variety of rock outcrops to learn navigation, observation, and measurement. Remote delivery of this course in fall 2020 due to COVID-19 required a transformation using new virtual, manual, and blended tools. Although largely successful, a return to in-person teaching is recommended.
Charles Jahren Conrad
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1356, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-1356, 2022
Preprint archived
Short summary
Short summary
I converted various CO2 records into music for the piano. This resulted in a statistical piece with five movements and includes musical elements. This conveys a truly unique sonic experience of climate change, and portrays the severe acceleration of emissions. The composition, playable on the piano, conveys climate urgency and the medium of music increases accessibility, audience, and memorability, conveying the immersive experience of climate change that the data deserves.
Philip J. Heron and Jamie A. Williams
Geosci. Commun., 5, 355–361, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-355-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-355-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Science, technology, engineering, and maths subjects have historically struggled to be inclusive to students from diverse backgrounds. We outline here an outreach course designed to improve critical thinking for people in prison. Based on course feedback, we share advice for working with students who do not engage in formal education – specifically those who have low self-confidence. We focus on how to create a classroom dynamic that is accessible, inclusive and relatable to all students.
Edward G. McGowan and Lewis J. Alcott
Geosci. Commun., 5, 325–337, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-325-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-325-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The fictional landscape of Hisui from Pokémon Legends: Arceus is inspired by the real-world island of Hokkaido, Japan. This paper illustrates how the game can be used to explore geological concepts including volcanology, economic geology, and hazard mitigation, by comparing in-game features to their real-world counterparts on Hokkaido. Applications from this study include increasing geoscientific interest and facilitating the self-learning or formal teaching of geoscience worldwide.
Clare E. Bond, Jessica H. Pugsley, Lauren Kedar, Sarah R. Ledingham, Marianna Z. Skupinska, Tomasz K. Gluzinski, and Megan L. Boath
Geosci. Commun., 5, 307–323, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-307-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-307-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Virtual field trips are used to engage students who are unable to go into the field with geological field work. Here, we investigate the perceptions of staff and students before and after a virtual field trip, including the investigation of the success of mitigation measures designed to decrease barriers to engagement and inclusion. We conclude that negative and positive perceptions exist and that effective mitigation measures can be used to improve the student experience.
Thomas Clements, Jake Atterby, Terri Cleary, Richard P. Dearden, and Valentina Rossi
Geosci. Commun., 5, 289–306, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-289-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-289-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Video games are the largest sector of the entertainment industry and often contain ancient animals (e.g. dinosaurs) and/or fossils. This may be the first or only exposure gamers have to palaeontology, and it provides a useful starting point for science outreach. However, video games are not typically designed to be educational. We investigate the use of palaeontology in video games and highlight common tropes that may skew the public perception of palaeontological science.
Caitlyn A. Hall, Sam Illingworth, Solmaz Mohadjer, Mathew Koll Roxy, Craig Poku, Frederick Otu-Larbi, Darryl Reano, Mara Freilich, Maria-Luisa Veisaga, Miguel Valencia, and Joey Morales
Geosci. Commun., 5, 275–280, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-275-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-275-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this manifesto, we offer six points of reflection that higher education geoscience educators can act upon to recognise and unlearn their biases and diversify the geosciences in higher education, complementing current calls for institutional and organisational change. This serves as a starting point to gather momentum to establish community-built opportunities for implementing and strengthening diversity, equity, inclusion, and justice holistically in geoscience education.
Benjamin M. C. Fischer and Alexandru Tatomir
Geosci. Commun., 5, 261–274, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-261-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-261-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
The aim of this paper is to communicate results of our survey giving a first overview and reflects how teaching of hydrology and water-related sciences changed due to COVID-19. Next to many negative aspects for teachers and students, a spirit of optimism, time of change and community initiatives could also be noticed. COVID-19 made it possible to explore novel teaching methods useful for modernizing education and making practical teaching formats accessible to all hydrology and water students.
Mattathias D. Needle, Juliet G. Crider, Jacky Mooc, and John F. Akers
Geosci. Commun., 5, 251–260, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-251-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-251-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We designed interactive, open-ended video games to simulate field geology to address the learning goals of traditional, in-person exercises for geology students. When these simulations were implemented in college courses, students used virtual versions of standard geology measuring tools to collect data but could also visualize and collect data in new ways (i.e., a jetpack and instantaneous graphing tools). The games were for remote learning, but the tools can also enhance in-person instruction.
Jessica H. Pugsley, John A. Howell, Adrian Hartley, Simon J. Buckley, Rachel Brackenridge, Nicholas Schofield, Gail Maxwell, Magda Chmielewska, Kari Ringdal, Nicole Naumann, and Joris Vanbiervliet
Geosci. Commun., 5, 227–249, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-227-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-227-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Virtual field trips have become a crucial resource during the COVID-19 pandemic within geoscience education. This study presents a critical evaluation of their use, using real-world examples delivered to a masters-level class at the University of Aberdeen. Our work highlights several key findings which can be used to help plan virtual field trips and how associated disadvantages of their use can be mitigated through a blend of physical and virtual field trips.
Alice Wardle and Sam Illingworth
Geosci. Commun., 5, 221–225, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-221-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-221-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Participants answered four questions concerning their experience writing a haiku based on a geoscience extract. Data were categorised as being part of the
Task Processor
Task Meaning. The themes involved in the
Task Processwere
Identification of significant information,
Distillation of informationand
Metamorphosis of text, while the themes related to
Task Meaningwere made up of
Enjoyable,
Challenging(which has sub-themes
Frustratingand
Restricted) and
Valuable.
Micol Todesco, Emanuela Ercolani, Flaminia Brasini, Delia Modonesi, Vera Pessina, Rosella Nave, and Romano Camassi
Geosci. Commun., 5, 205–219, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-205-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-205-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
How do kids imagine the onset and outcome of a volcanic eruption? A workshop proposed for schools tries to answer this question by collecting stories and drawings done by kids (aged 6–13). The eruption they have in mind is an excellent starting point for building classroom conversations about volcanic risk and its mitigation. Concurrently, the workshop provided us with valuable hints to improve educational materials and lesson plans to account for kids’ knowledge and beliefs.
Xavier Fonseca, Gonzalo Miguez-Macho, José A. Cortes-Vazquez, and Antonio Vaamonde
Geosci. Commun., 5, 177–188, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-177-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-177-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper, we discuss the instrumental role of the press in informing and educating the public on the subject of climate science and climate change. We illustrate this using an example of a dissemination format called Weather Stories, published daily in one of the most read newspapers in Spain. The particularities of this journalistic format are described using a practical example of a relatively complex physical concept: the jet stream.
Margaret Chen, Rui Aleixo, Massimo Guerrero, and Rui Ferreira
Geosci. Commun., 5, 143–150, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-143-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-143-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
W.A.T.E.R. stands for Workshop on Advanced measurement Techniques and Experimental Research. It provides a structured approach for the learning and training platform to professionals with an experimental background in fluid mechanics. It offers an opportunity to learn about state-of-the-art instrumentation and measurement techniques and the latest developments in the field by partnering with academics, instrumentation manufacturers, and public sectors for sharing knowledge and good practices.
Martin O. Archer, Cara L. Waters, Shafiat Dewan, Simon Foster, and Antonio Portas
Geosci. Commun., 5, 119–123, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-119-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-119-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Educational research highlights that improved careers education is needed to increase participation in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics (STEM). Current UK careers resources in the space sector, however, are found to perhaps not best reflect the diversity of roles present and may in fact perpetuate misconceptions about the usefulness of science. We, therefore, compile a more diverse set of space-related jobs, which will be used in the development of a new space careers resource.
Sharon Bywater-Reyes and Beth Pratt-Sitaula
Geosci. Commun., 5, 101–117, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-101-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-101-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
This paper outlines educational materials appropriate to teach upper division or graduate-level geoscience students how to produce and interpret high-resolution topography data. In a remote implementation, students were able to independently generate high-resolution topographic data products that can be used for interpreting hazards such as landsliding and flooding. Students met course learning outcomes while learning marketable skills used within environmental jobs or research settings.
Natalie Bursztyn, Pejman Sajjadi, Hannah Riegel, Jiawei Huang, Jan Oliver Wallgrün, Jiayan Zhao, Bart Masters, and Alexander Klippel
Geosci. Commun., 5, 29–53, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-29-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-29-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
Strike and Dip (SaD) is a desktop virtual reality environment to teach strike and dip measurement and the compilation of geologic maps. SaD replicates real-world field mapping using virtual 3D outcrop models and a geologic compass that the user manipulates to take measurements. SaD was implemented in an introductory geology course, and students were surveyed about their experience with it. We found that the experience was generally positive. SaD is a viable resource for accessible field trips.
Nicolas C. Barth, Greg M. Stock, and Kinnari Atit
Geosci. Commun., 5, 17–28, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-17-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-17-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We present a geology of Yosemite Valley virtual field trip (VFT) and companion exercises produced to substitute for physical field experiences. The VFT is created as an Earth project in Google Earth Web, a versatile format that allows access through a web browser. The module's progression from a VFT and a mapping exercise to geologically reasoned decision-making results in high-quality student work; students find it engaging, enjoyable, and educational.
Valeria V. Martinez and Laura F. Serpa
Geosci. Commun., 5, 1–9, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-1-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-5-1-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
In this paper we suggest that introductory level geoscience students can learn more about the Earth and the processes that change it through well-designed interactive videos and 3-D images than they typically can learn from a field trip or live lecturer, textbook, and hand samples. This is particularly important at this time as many schools and universities are moving away from actual field experiences, and there is a common viewpoint that geology is not a
realscience.
Pablo Borges de Amorim and Pedro Luiz Borges Chaffe
Geosci. Commun., 4, 527–554, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-527-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-527-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Climate change is one of the major challenges of our society, and therefore we present a climate risk training for tertiary students and practitioners. The training uses a hands-on method and was tested with five independent groups in Brazil. We find that the application of a mapping exercise supports learning about climate risk, as well as the development of problem-solving skills. The proposed training enables the teaching of climate risk in stand-alone courses and professional development.
Kathryn Lambrecht, Benjamin J. Hatchett, Kristin VanderMolen, and Bianca Feldkircher
Geosci. Commun., 4, 517–525, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-517-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-517-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This paper presents an analysis of public responses to U.S. National Weather Service heat-related Facebook posts for the Phoenix (Arizona) County Warning Area to identify community norms that may present challenges to the effectiveness of heat risk communication. Findings suggest that local audiences tend to view heat as normal and the ability to withstand heat as a marker of community identity. Recommendations are provided for harnessing those norms to promote positive behavioral change.
John K. Hillier, Katharine E. Welsh, Mathew Stiller-Reeve, Rebecca K. Priestley, Heidi A. Roop, Tiziana Lanza, and Sam Illingworth
Geosci. Commun., 4, 493–506, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-493-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-493-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In this editorial we expand upon the brief advice in the first editorial of Geoscience Communication (Illingworth et al., 2018), illustrating what constitutes robust and publishable work for this journal and elucidating its key elements. Our aim is to help geoscience communicators plan a route to publication and to illustrate how good engagement work that is already being done might be developed into publishable research.
Erika Rader, Renee Love, Darryl Reano, Tonia A. Dousay, and Natasha Wingerter
Geosci. Commun., 4, 475–492, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-475-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-475-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In response to the COVID-19 pandemic shutdown, we designed a virtual geology field camp based in the video game Minecraft. Students learned how to map geological features on the surface and in the subsurface using this fun and engaging platform. Students' perceptions of the course were positive, and they showed improvement in basic geologic skills between pre-assessment and post-assessment surveys. Students discussed career pathways and skills and fostered interpersonal relationships.
Madeline S. Marshall and Melinda C. Higley
Geosci. Commun., 4, 461–474, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-461-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-461-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We created a virtual field trip (VFT) to Grand Ledge, a regionally important suite of outcrops in Michigan, USA. There is a wide range of sedimentary and stratigraphic features encompassed in this locality, making it ideal for a comprehensive virtual field experience. The VFT undertakes all stages of a field project: students investigate outcrops and samples at multiple scales, and students report successfully learning how to interpret complex sedimentary environments
like a real geologist.
Kim Senger, Peter Betlem, Sten-Andreas Grundvåg, Rafael Kenji Horota, Simon John Buckley, Aleksandra Smyrak-Sikora, Malte Michel Jochmann, Thomas Birchall, Julian Janocha, Kei Ogata, Lilith Kuckero, Rakul Maria Johannessen, Isabelle Lecomte, Sara Mollie Cohen, and Snorre Olaussen
Geosci. Commun., 4, 399–420, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-399-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-399-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
At UNIS, located at 78° N in Longyearbyen in Arctic Norway, we use digital outcrop models (DOMs) actively in a new course (
AG222 Integrated Geological Methods: From Outcrop To Geomodel) to solve authentic geoscientific challenges. DOMs are shared through the open-access Svalbox geoscientific portal, along with 360° imagery, subsurface data and published geoscientific data from Svalbard. Here we share experiences from the AG222 course and Svalbox, both before and during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Kevin H. Mahan, Michael G. Frothingham, and Ellen Alexander
Geosci. Commun., 4, 421–435, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-421-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-421-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We describe a virtual education module that encompasses many of the basic requirements of an advanced field exercise, including designing data collection strategies, synthesizing field and laboratory data, and communicating the results. Modules like the one shared here can successfully address some of the key learning objectives that are common to field-based capstone experiences while also fostering a more accessible and inclusive learning environment for all students.
Marleen Carolijn de Ruiter, Anaïs Couasnon, and Philip James Ward
Geosci. Commun., 4, 383–397, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-383-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-383-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Many countries can get hit by different hazards, such as earthquakes and floods. Generally, measures and policies are aimed at decreasing the potential damages of one particular hazard type despite their potential of having unwanted effects on other hazard types. We designed a serious game that helps professionals to improve their understanding of these potential negative effects of measures and policies that reduce the impacts of disasters across many different hazard types.
Niki Evelpidou, Anna Karkani, Giannis Saitis, and Evangelos Spyrou
Geosci. Commun., 4, 351–360, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-351-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-351-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Field trips, despite their significance in students' education, cannot be performed under the COVID-19 pandemic. Here, we evaluate virtual field trips, as an alternative to in situ field work and as a means of preparation for live field trips, considering students' views. They are useful for geoscience students and a good alternative during restriction periods; although they can't substitute real field trips, they can be a valuable additional tool when preparing for a live field trip.
Rachel Bosch
Geosci. Commun., 4, 329–349, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-329-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-329-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
In order to communicate the field-rich, complex concepts of karst geomorphology and hydrogeology to people who may not be able to access in-person field experiences, two virtual learning resources were created. Both karst activities, introductory and advanced, are available online in the Science Education Resource Center (SERC) Online Field Experiences repository. These and other activities from that SERC repository were incorporated into virtual capstone pathways for senior undergrad students.
George Sand França, Ricardo Cruccioli Ribeiro, Luana Rosa Soares, João Calmoni, Gabriel B. de França, and Paulo Eduardo Brito
Geosci. Commun., 4, 297–301, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-297-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-297-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Absurd theories have been gaining adherents without any criticism and, worse, consolidating. Thus, in order to find solutions for a better understanding of our real theories, the project "The Earth is Flat! Isn’t it?" was created, Which aims to use performing art as the main communicator to spread science. The first was of integration between science and art. The second was dramaturgy along with the creative process, and the third stage was the spectacle.
Solmaz Mohadjer, Sebastian G. Mutz, Matthew Kemp, Sophie J. Gill, Anatoly Ischuk, and Todd A. Ehlers
Geosci. Commun., 4, 281–295, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-281-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-281-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Lack of access to science-based natural hazards information impedes the effectiveness of school-based disaster risk reduction education. To address this challenge, we created and classroom tested a series of earthquake education videos that were co-taught by school teachers and Earth scientists in the UK and Tajikistan. Comparison of the results reveals significant differences between students' views on the Earth's interior and why and where earthquakes occur.
Clare E. Bond and Adam J. Cawood
Geosci. Commun., 4, 233–244, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-233-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-233-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Virtual outcrop models are increasingly used in geoscience teaching, but their efficacy as a training tool for 3D thinking has been little tested. We find that using a virtual outcrop increases the participants' ability to choose the correct geological block model. That virtual outcrops are viewed positively, but only in a blended learning environment and not as a replacement for fieldwork, and virtual outcrop use could improve equality, diversity and inclusivity in geoscience.
Nicholas J. Kinar
Geosci. Commun., 4, 209–231, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-209-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-209-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Postsecondary advanced hydrology students often work with electronic sensing systems at field sites but are rarely given the opportunity to build and test electronic circuits used for collection of environmental data. Students constructed custom-designed circuits for water detection and environmental measurement. The circuits taught students about systems theory and hydrological models. This activity motivated learning and showed how circuits are used to collect data for model application.
Martin O. Archer, Jennifer DeWitt, Charlotte Thorley, and Olivia Keenan
Geosci. Commun., 4, 147–168, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-147-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-147-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We explore how best to support school students to experience undertaking research-level physics by evaluating provision in the PRiSE framework of
research in schoolsprojects. These experiences are received by students and teachers much more positively than typical forms of outreach. The intensive support offered is deemed necessary, with all elements appearing equally important. We suggest the framework could be adopted at other institutions applied to their own areas of scientific research.
Martin O. Archer
Geosci. Commun., 4, 189–208, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-189-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-189-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
An evaluation of the accessibility and equity of a programme of independent research projects shows that, with the right support from both teachers and active researchers, schools' ability to succeed at undertaking cutting-edge research appears independent of typical societal inequalities.
Adam J. Jeffery, Steven L. Rogers, Kelly L. A. Jeffery, and Luke Hobson
Geosci. Commun., 4, 95–110, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-95-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-95-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We investigate the potential use of Thinglink, an interactive imagery-based web platform, for the study of rocks, minerals, and fossils under the microscope. We disseminated a prototype which allowed users to view rock samples through a "virtual" microscope and gathered feedback from staff and students. Results were overwhelmingly positive and imply real interest in this style of resource. Such resources could help to enhance accessibility and inclusivity and could complement existing teaching.
Susanne Taina Ramalho Maciel, Caroline Siqueira Gomide, Thatianny Alves de Lima Silva, Gustavo Braga Alcântara, Cynara Kern, Elisabeth Andreoli, Lyvian Senna, and Leandro de Oliveira Evangelista
Geosci. Commun., 4, 83–93, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-83-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-83-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
We present the results of a theatre-based project designed to promote gender equity in science, technology, engineering and mathematics disciplines. We use Theatre of the Oppressed techniques to promote discussions about issues concerning the access, permanence and ascension of women in exact and Earth sciences careers. The scenes are able to show that, in general, these issues relate to other causes, and the paternal culture, and reveal how all kinds of harassment can take place in academia.
Cited articles
Alfieri, L., Pappenberger, F., Wetterhall, F., Haiden, T., Richardson, D.,
and Salamon, P.: Evaluation of ensemble streamflow predictions in Europe, J.
Hydrol., 517, 913–922, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.035, 2014.
Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E.,
Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S. J., and Pappenberger, F.: Willingness-to-pay
for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game,
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3109–3128,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016, 2016.
Arnal, L., Wood, A. W., Stephens, E., Cloke, H., and Pappenberger, F.: An
Efficient Approach for Estimating Streamflow Forecast Skill Elasticity, J.
Hydrometeorol., 18, 1715–1729, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-16-0259.1, 2017.
Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Stephens, E., Wetterhall, F., Prudhomme, C.,
Neumann, J., Krzeminski, B., and Pappenberger, F.: Skilful seasonal forecasts
of streamflow over Europe?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2057–2072,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-2057-2018, 2018.
Arribas, A., Glover, M., Maidens, A., Peterson, K., Gordon, M., MacLachlan,
C., Graham, R., Fereday, D., Camp, J., Scaife, A. A., Xavier, P., McLean, P.,
and Colman, A.: The GloSea4 Ensemble Prediction System for Seasonal
Forecasting, Mon. Weather. Rev., 139, 1891–1910,
https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3615.1, 2010.
Asrar, G. R., Hurrell, J. W., and Busalacchi, A. J.: A need for
“actionable” climate science and information: summary of WCRP open science
conference, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 94, ES8–ES12,
https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00011.1, 2012.
Bell, V. A., Davies, H. N., Kay, A. L., Marsh, T. J., Brookshaw, A., and
Jenkins, A.: Developing a large-scale water-balance approach to seasonal
forecasting: application to the 2012 drought in Britain, Hydrol. Process.,
27, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.9863, 2013.
Bell, V. A., Davies, H. N., Kay, A. L., Brookshaw, A., and Scaife, A. A.: A
national-scale seasonal hydrological forecast system: development and
evaluation over Britain, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4681–4691,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4681-2017, 2017.
Bloomfield, J. P. and Marchant, B. P.: Analysis of groundwater drought
building on the standardised precipitation index approach, Hydrol. Earth
Syst. Sci., 17, 4769–4787, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-4769-2013, 2013.
Bloomfield, J. P., Bricker, S. H., and Newell, A. J.: Some relationships between
lithology, basin form and hydrology: A case study from the Thames basin, UK, Hydrol. Process., 25, 2518–2530, https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.8024,
2011.
Bolson, J., Martinez, C., Breuer, N., Srivastava, P., and Knox, P.: Climate
information use among southeast US water managers: beyond barriers and toward
opportunities, Reg. Environ. Change, 13, 141–151,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0463-1, 2013.
CEH: Hydrological Outlook – Further Information for November 2013, available
at:
http://www.hydoutuk.net/archive/2013/november-2013/further-information-november-2013/
(last access: 25 April 2018), 2013.
CEH: Hydrological Outlook UK, available at: http://www.hydoutuk.net/,
last access: 9 April 2018.
Chatterton, J., Viavattene, C., Morris, J., Penning-Rowsell, E., and Tapsell,
S.: The costs of the summer 2007 floods in England, Environment Agency Report
SC070039, Rio House, Bristol, UK, 2010.
Chiew, F. H. S., Zhou, S. L., and McMahon, T. A.: Use of seasonal streamflow
forecasts in water resources management, J. Hydrol., 270, 135–144, 2003.
Copernicus: EDgE, Climate Change Service, available at:
http://edge.climate.copernicus.eu/ (last access: 31 May 2018), 2017a.
Copernicus: SWICCA: Service for Water Indicators in Climate Change
Adaptation, SMHI, available at: http://swicca.climate.copernicus.eu/
(last access: 31 May 2018), 2017b.
Coughlan de Perez, E., van den Hurk, B., van Aalst, M. K., Amuron, I.,
Bamanya, D., Hauser, T., Jongma, B., Lopez, A., Mason, S., Mendler de Suarez,
J., Pappenberger, F., Rueth, A., Stephens, E., Suarez, P., Wagemaker, J., and
Zsoter, E.: Action-based flood forecasting for triggering humanitarian
action, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3549–3560,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3549-2016, 2016.
Crochemore, L., Ramos, M.-H., Pappenberger, F., van Andel, S. J., and Wood,
A. W.: An experiment on risk-based decision-making in water management using
monthly probabilistic forecasts, B. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 97, 541–551, 2015.
Doblas-Reyes, F. J., García-Serrano, J., Lienert, F., Biescas, A. P.,
and Rodrigues, L. R. L: Seasonal climate predictability and forecasting:
status and prospects, WIREs Clim. Change, 4, 245–268, https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.217,
2013.
EA (Environment Agency): Thames Catchment Flood Management Plan – Managing
Flood Risk, Summary Report December 2009, EA, Kings Meadow House, Reading,
2009.
EA (Environment Agency): The costs and impacts of the winter 2013 to 2014
floods, Technical Report SC140025, Defra/Environment Agency Joint R&D
programme, 2015.
EA (Environment Agency): Groundwater Level Measurements (AfA075), Data
contains Environment Agency information©
Environment Agency and/or database right, All rights reserved, Data sourced
under Environment Agency Conditional Licence, 2017.
Emerton, R., Zsoter, E., Arnal, L., Cloke, H. L., Muraro, D., Prudhomme, C.,
Stephens, E. M., Salamon, P., and Pappenberger, F.: Developing a global
operational seasonal hydro-meteorological forecasting system: GloFAS-Seasonal
v1.0, Geosci. Model Dev., 11, 3327–3346, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-11-3327-2018,
2018.
Farolfi, S., Hassan, R., Perret, S., and MacKay, H.: A role-playing game to
support multi-stakeholder negotiations related to water allocation in South
Africa: First applications and potential developments, Midrand: Water
Resources as Ecosystems: Scientists, Government and Society at the
Crossroads, 2004.
Fry, M., Smith, K., Sheffield, J., Watts, G., Wood, E., Cooper, J.,
Prudhomme, C., and Rees, G.: Communication of uncertainty in hydrological
predictions: a user-driven example web service for Europe, Geophys. Res.
Abstr., EGU2017-16474, EGU General Assembly 2017, Vienna, Austria, 2017.
Golding, N., Hewitt, C., Zhang, P., Bett, P., Fang, X., Hu, H., and Nobert,
S.: Improving user engagement and uptake of climate services in China,
Climate Services, 5, 39–45, 2017.
Gray, D.: Gamestorming – Empathy Map, available at:
http://gamestorming.com/empathy-mapping/ (last access: 1 May 2018),
2017.
Harrison, J.: Flood hazard management: Using an alternative community-based
approach, Planet, 4, 5–6, 2002.
Huntingford, C., Marsh, T., Scaife, A. A., Kendon, E. J., Hannaford, J., Kay,
A. L., Lockwood, M., Prudhomme, C., Reynar, N. S., Parry, S., Lowe, J. A.,
Screen, J. A., Ward, H. C., Roberts, M., Stott, P. A., Bell, V. A., Bailey,
M., Jenkins, A., Legg, T., Otto, F. E. L., Massey, N., Schaller, N., Slingo,
J., and Allen, M. A.: Potential influences on the United Kingdom's floods of
winter 2013/14, Nat. Clim. Change, 4, 769–777, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2314,
2014.
Ishikawa, T., Barnson, A. G., Kastens, K. A., and Louchouarn, P.:
Understanding, evaluation, and use of climate forecast data by environmental
policy students, in: Qualitative inquiry in geoscience education research,
edited by: Feig, A. D. and Stokes, A., Geological Society of America Special
Paper 474, 153–170, Geol. Soc. Am., Denver, CO, 2011.
IMPREX: Thames River Basin, available at:
http://imprex.eu/thames-river-basin (last access: 8 April 2018), 2018a.
IMPREX: Risk Outlook Tool, available at:
http://www.imprex.eu/innovation/risk-outlook (last access:
21 May 2018), 2018b.
Jones, L., Dougill, A., Jones, R. G., Steynor, A., Watkiss, P., Kane, C.,
Koelle, B., Moufouma-Okia, W., Padgham, J., Ranger, N., Roux, J.-P., Suarez,
P., Tanner, T., and Vincent, K.: Ensuring climate information guides
long-term development, Nat. Clim. Change, 5, 812–814,
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2701, 2015.
JRC: European Flood Awareness System, available at:
https://www.efas.eu/ (last access: 9 April 2018), 2018a.
JRC: Global Flood Awareness System, available at:
http://www.globalfloods.eu/user-information/seasonal_outlook/ (last
access: 9 April 2018), 2018b.
Kendon, M. and McCarthy, M.: The UK's wet and stormy winter of 2013/2014,
Weather, 70, 40–47, https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2465, 2015.
Kirchhoff, C. J., Lemos, M. C., and Engle, N. L.: What influences climate
information use in water management? The role of boundary organizations and
governance regimes in Brazil and the U.S., Environ. Sci. Policy, 26, 6–18,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2012.07.001, 2013.
Lemos, M. C., Kirchhoff, C. J., and Ramprasad, V.: Narrowing the climate
information usability gap, Nat. Clim. Change, 2, 789–794, 2012.
Lewis, H., Mittermaier, M., Mylne, K., Norman, K., Scaife, A., Neal, R.,
Pierce, C., Harrison, D., Jewell, S., Kendon, M., Saunders, R., Brunet, G.,
Golding, B., Kitchen, M., Davies, P., and Pilling, C.: From months to minutes
– exploring the value of high-resolution rainfall observation and prediction
during the UK winter storms of 2013/2014, Meteorol. Appl., 22, 90–104, 2015.
Li, Y., Giuliani, M., and Castelletti, A.: A coupled human–natural system to
assess the operational value of weather and climate services for agriculture,
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4693–4709,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4693-2017, 2017.
Lorenz, S., Dessai, S., Forster, P., and Paavola, J.: Tailoring the visual
communication of climate projections for local adaptation practitioners in
Germany and the United Kingdom, Philos. T. Roy. Soc. A, 373, 20140457,
https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2014.0457, 2015.
Mackay, J. D., Jackson, C. D., Brookshaw, A., Scaife, A. A., Cook, J., and
Ward, R. S.: Seasonal forecasting of groundwater levels in principal aquifers
of the United Kingdom, J. Hydrol., 530, 815–828,
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.10.018, 2015.
McEwen, L. J., Krause, F., Jones, O., and Garde Hansen, J.: Sustainable flood
memories, informal knowledge and the development of community resilience to
future flood risk, Transactions on Ecology and The Environment, 159,
253–263, 2012.
McEwen, L., Stokes, A., Crowley, K., and Roberts, C.: Using role-play for
expert science communication with professional stakeholders in flood risk
management, J. Geogr. Higher Educ., 38, 277–300,
https://doi.org/10.1080/03098265.2014.911827, 2014.
Meadow, A., Ferguson, D., Guido, Z., Horangic, A., Owen, G., and Wall, T.:
Moving toward the deliberate co-production of climate science knowledge,
Weather, Clim. Soc., 7, 179–191, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-14-00050.1, 2015.
Meißner, D., Klein, B., and Ionita, M.: Development of a monthly to
seasonal forecast framework tailored to inland waterway transport in central
Europe, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 6401–6423,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-6401-2017, 2017.
Met Office.: EUPORIAS Project, available at:
https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/collaboration/euporias, last
access: 16 June 2018.
Molteni, F., Stockdale, T., Alonso-Balmaseda, M., Buizza, R., Ferranti, L.,
Magnusson, L., Mogensen, K., Palmer, T. N., and Vitart, F.: The new ECMWF
seasonal forecast system (System 4), ECMWF Tech. Memo., 656, 1–49, 2011.
Muchan, K., Lewis, M., Hannaford, J., and Parry, S.: The winter storms of
2013/2014 in the UK: hydrological responses and impacts, Weather, 70, 55–61,
https://doi.org/10.1002/wea.2469, 2015.
Neumann, J. L., Arnal, L., Emerton, R., Griffith, H., Theofanidi, S., and
Cloke, H.: Supporting the integration and application of seasonal
hydrological forecasts in the West Thames, Technical Report for IMPREX,
https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.19905.25447, 2017.
Neumann, J. L., Arnal, L. L. S., Magnusson, L., and Cloke, H. L.: The 2013/14
Thames basin floods: Do improved meteorological forecasts lead to more
skilful hydrological forecasts at seasonal timescales?, J. Hydrometeorol.,
19, 1059–1075, https://doi.org/10.1175/JHM-D-17-0182.1, 2018.
NRFA (National River Flow Archive): Search for Gauging Stations, available
at: http://nrfa.ceh.ac.uk/data/search, last access: 10 July 2017.
NRFA (National River Flow Archive): Monthly Hydrological Summaries, available
at: https://nrfa.ceh.ac.uk/monthly-hydrological-summary-uk?page=5, last
access: 22 May 2018.
Parry, S., Prudhomme, C., Wilby, R., and Wood, P.: Chronology of drought
termination for long records in the Thames catchment, in: Drought: Research
and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited by: Andreu, J., Solera, A.,
Paredes-Arquiola, J., Haro-Monteagudo, D., and van Lanen, H., London, Taylor
& Francis (CRC Press), 165–170, 2015.
Pavey, J. and Donoghue, D.: The use of role play and VLEs in teaching
environmental management, Planet, 10, 7–10, 2003.
Prudhomme, C., Shaffrey, L. C., Woolings, T., Jackson, C. R., Fowler, H. J.,
and Anderson, B.: IMPETUS: Improving predictions of drought for user
decision-making, in: Drought: Research and Science-Policy Interfacing, edited
by: Andreu, J., Solera, A., Paredes-Arquiola, J., Haro-Monteagudo, D., and
van Lanen, H., CRC Press, https://doi.org/10.1201/b18077-47, 2015.
Prudhomme, C., Hannaford, J., Harrigan, S., Boorman, D., Knight, J., Bell,
V., Jackson, C., Svensson, C., Parry, S., Bachiller-Jareno, N., Davies, H.,
Davis, R., Mackay, J., McKenzie, A., Rudd, A., Smith, K., Bloomfield, J.,
Ward, R., and Jenkins, A.: Hydrological Outlook UK: an operational streamflow
and groundwater level forecasting system at monthly to seasonal time scales,
Hydrolog. Sci. J., 62, 2753–2768, https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2017.1395032, 2017.
Ramos, M. H., van Andel, S. J., and Pappenberger, F.: Do probabilistic
forecasts lead to better decisions?, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 17,
2219–2232, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-17-2219-2013, 2013.
Rapley, C. G., de Meyer, K., Carney, J., Clarke, R., Howarth, C., Smith, N.,
Stilgoe, J., Youngs, S., Brierley, C., Haugvaldstad, A., Lotto, B., Michie,
S., Shipworth, M., and Tuckett, D.: Time for Change? Climate Science
Reconsidered, Report of the UCL Policy Commission on Communicating Climate
Science, 2014.
Rodwell, M. J., Ferranti, L., Magnusson, L., Weisheimer, A., Rabier, F., and
Richardson, D.: Diagnosis of northern hemispheric regime behaviour during
winter 2013/14, ECMWF Tech. Memo., 769, 1–12, 2015.
Soares, M. B. and Dessai, S. J.: Exploring the use of seasonal climate
forecasts in Europe through expert elicitation, Climate Risk Management, 10,
8–16, 2015.
Soares, M. B. and Dessai, S. J.: Barriers and enablers to the use of seasonal
climate forecasts amongst organisations in Europe, Climatic Change, 137,
89–103, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-016-1671-8, 2016.
Soares, M. B., Alexander, M., and Dessai, S. J.: Sectoral use of climate
information in Europe: A synoptic overview, Climate Services, 9, 5–20, 2018.
Thames Water: Hydrological Context for Water Quality And Ecology Preliminary
Impact Assessments, Technical Appendix B, Thames Water Utilities Ltd 2W0H
Lower Thames Operating Agreement (Cascade Consulting), 2010.
Turner, S. W. D., Bennett, J. C., Robertson, D. E., and Galelli, S.: Complex
relationship between seasonal streamflow forecast skill and value in
reservoir operations, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 4841–4859,
https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4841-2017, 2017.
UK Gov: Water Situation Reports, available at:
https://www.gov.uk/government/collections/water-situation-reports-for-england,
last access: 5 May 2018.
Van der Knijff, J. M., Younis, J., and De Roo, A. P. J.: LISFLOOD: a
GIS-based distributed model for river basin scale water balance and flood
simulation, Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 24, 189–212,
https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810802549154, 2010.
van den Hurk, B. J. J. M., Bouwer, L. M., Buontempo, C., Döscher, R.,
Ercin, E., Hananel, C., Hunink, J. E., Kjellström, E., Klein, B., Manez,
M., Pappenberger, F., Pouget, L., Ramos, M.-H., Ward, P. J., Weerts, A. H.,
and Wijngaard, J. B.: Improving predictions and management of hydrological
extremes through climate services, Climate Services, 1, 6–11, 2016.
Vaughan, C., Buja, L., Kruczkiewicz, A., and Goddard, L.: Identifying
research priorities to advance climate services, Climate Services 4, 65–74,
2016.
Viel, C., Beaulant, A.-L., Soubeyroux, J.-M., and Céron, J.-P.: How
seasonal forecast could help a decision maker: an example of climate service
for water resource management, Adv. Sci. Res., 13, 51–55,
https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-13-51-2016, 2016.
Wells, M. and Davis, H.: Water transfer for public water supply via the CRT
canal network, presentation Black and Veatch, 2016.
Wood, A. W. and Lettenmaier, D. P.: An ensemble approach for attribution of
hydrologic prediction uncertainty, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L14401,
https://doi.org/10.1029/2008GL034648, 2008.
Yuan, X., Wood, E. F., and Ma, Z.: A review on climate-model-based seasonal
hydrologic forecasting: physical understanding and system development, WIREs
Water, 2, 523–536, https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1088, 2015.
Short summary
Seasonal hydrological forecasts (SHF) can predict floods, droughts, and water use in the coming months, but little is known about how SHF are used for decision-making. We asked 11 water sector participants what decisions they would make when faced with a possible flood event in 6 weeks' time. Flood forecasters and groundwater hydrologists responded to the flood risk more than water supply managers. SHF need to be tailored for use and communicated more clearly if they are to aid decision-making.
Seasonal hydrological forecasts (SHF) can predict floods, droughts, and water use in the coming...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint