Geoscience Communication
Geoscience Communication
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Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-8-267-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-8-267-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 8, issue 4
Research article
 | 
10 Oct 2025
Research article |  | 10 Oct 2025

Communicating expected uncertainty in a geostatistical survey to support co-design with users of information

Christopher Chagumaira, Joseph G. Chimungu, Patson C. Nalivata, Martin R. Broadley, Alice E. Milne, and Richard Murray Lark

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Mapping soil micronutrient concentration at national-scale: an illustration of a decision process framework
Christopher Chagumaira, Joseph G. Chimungu, Patson C. Nalivata, Martin R. Broadley, Madlene Nussbaum, Alice E. Milne, and R. Murray Lark
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-583,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-583, 2022
Preprint archived
Short summary
Communicating uncertainties in spatial predictions of grain micronutrient concentration
Christopher Chagumaira, Joseph G. Chimungu, Dawd Gashu, Patson C. Nalivata, Martin R. Broadley, Alice E. Milne, and R. Murray Lark
Geosci. Commun., 4, 245–265, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-245-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-245-2021, 2021
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Cited articles

Alemu, R., Galew, A., Gashu, D., Tafere, K., Mossa, A. W., Bailey, E., Masters, W. A., Broadley, M. R., and Lark, R. M.: Sub-sampling a large physical soil archive for additional analyses to support spatial mapping; a pre-registered experiment in the Southern Nations, Nationalities, and Peoples Region (SNNPR) of Ethiopia, Geoderma, 424, 116013, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2022.116013, 2022. a
Ball, H. L.: Conducting Online Surveys, J. Hum. Lact., 35, 413–417, https://doi.org/10.1177/0890334419848734, 2019. a
Black, H., Bellamy, P., Creamer, R., Elston, D., Emmett, B., Frogbrook, Z., Hudson, G., Jordan, C., Lark, M., Lilly, A., Marchant, B., Plum, S., Potts, J., Reynolds, B., Thompson, R., and Booth, P.: Design and operation of a UK soil monitoring network, Environment Agency, https://nora.nerc.ac.uk/id/eprint/4936/ (last access: (21 April 2023), 2008. a
Botoman, L., Chagumaira, C., Mossa, A. W., Amede, T., Ander, E. L., Bailey, E. H., Chimungu, J. G., Gameda, S., Gashu, D., Haefele, S. M., Joy, E. J. M., Kumssa, D. B., Ligowe, I. S., Mcgrath, S. P., Milne, A. E., Munthali, M., Towett, E., Walsh, M. G., Wilson, L., Young, S. D., Broadley, M. R., Lark, R. M., and Nalivata, P. C.: Soil and landscape factors influence geospatial variation in maize grain zinc concentration in Malawi, Sci. Rep., https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12014-w, 2022. a, b
Chagumaira, C., Chimungu, J. G., Gashu, D., Nalivata, P. C., Broadley, M. R., Milne, A. E., and Lark, R. M.: Communicating uncertainties in spatial predictions of grain micronutrient concentration, Geosci. Commun., 4, 245–265, https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-245-2021, 2021. a, b, c, d, e, f
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Our study is concerned with how uncertainty in spatial information about environmental variables can be communicated to stakeholders to make decisions about sampling whilst also considering the trade-off between sampling effort and reducing uncertainty. We tested four approaches that relate sampling density and uncertainty by eliciting the opinions of end-users. End-users preferred the method not directly linked to decision-making. More work is needed to develop and elucidate decision-specific approaches.
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