Communicating complex forecasts: an analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

Budimir, Mirianna; Donovan, Amy; Brown, Sarah; Shakya, Puja; Gautam, Dilip; Uprety, Madhab; Cranston, Michael; Sneddon, Alison; Smith, Paul; Dugar, Sumit

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

Articles | Volume 3, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020

© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 3, issue 1

Research article

|

13 Mar 2020

Research article |

| 13 Mar 2020

Communicating complex forecasts: an analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system

Mirianna Budimir, Amy Donovan, Sarah Brown, Puja Shakya, Dilip Gautam, Madhab Uprety, Michael Cranston, Alison Sneddon, Paul Smith, and Sumit Dugar

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Final revised paper (published on 13 Mar 2020)
Preprint (discussion started on 20 Mar 2019)

Interactive discussion

Status: closed

AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment

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- Supplement

SC1: 'Feedback on your abstract from EGU Short Course', Mathew Stiller-Reeve, 10 Apr 2019
- AC1: 'Author response to short comment', Mirianna Budimir, 10 Jan 2020
RC1: 'Review of Communicating Complex Forecasts for Enhanced Early Warning in Nepal', Carolina Garcia, 01 Jun 2019
- AC2: 'Author response to reviewer comments 1 - Carolina Garcia', Mirianna Budimir, 10 Jan 2020
RC2: 'Comments on "Communicating Complex Forecast for Enhanced Early Warning in Nepal"', Anonymous Referee #2, 09 Nov 2019
- AC3: 'Author response to reviewer comments 2', Mirianna Budimir, 10 Jan 2020
AC4: 'Manuscript tracked changes', Mirianna Budimir, 22 Jan 2020

Peer-review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (23 Jan 2020) by Tiziana Lanza

ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (23 Jan 2020) by Sam Illingworth (Executive editor)

AR by Mirianna Budimir on behalf of the Authors (29 Jan 2020) Author's response Manuscript

Short summary

Early warning systems for natural hazards have the potential to save lives and improve people's resilience to disasters. However, challenges remain in disseminating and communicating more complex warnings with longer lead times to decision makers and individuals at risk. Research was undertaken to analyse and understand the current flood early warning system in Nepal, considering available data and forecasts, information flows, early warning dissemination, and decision-making for early action.