Articles | Volume 3, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-3-49-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
13 Mar 2020
Research article |
| 13 Mar 2020
| 13 Mar 2020
Communicating complex forecasts: an analysis of the approach in Nepal's flood early warning system
Mirianna Budimir
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Rugby, UK
Amy Donovan
Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
Sarah Brown
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Rugby, UK
Puja Shakya
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Kathmandu, Nepal
Dilip Gautam
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Kathmandu, Nepal
Madhab Uprety
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Kathmandu, Nepal
Michael Cranston
RAB Consultants, Perth, UK
Alison Sneddon
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Rugby, UK
Paul Smith
Waternumbers, Lancaster, UK
Sumit Dugar
Practical Action Consulting, Practical Action, Kathmandu, Nepal
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Cited
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- An Agent-Based Model for Simulating Flood Governance and Community Resilience A. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2026.103820
- Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: Perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop A. Dasgupta et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12880
- Urban Flood Hazard Assessment and Management Practices in South Asia: A Review B. Manandhar et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12030627
- Interdisciplinary research in hazards and disaster risk A. Donovan et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/27539687231183448
- A Novel Multilevel Conceptual Framework for Flood Risk Governance A. Stambekova & A. Seenath https://doi.org/10.1002/eet.70086
- Exploring challenges and opportunities in detecting emerging drug trends: A socio-technical analysis of the Canadian context E. Bouchouar et al. https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-023-00842-w
- Managing cross-border eruptions: Insights from recent crises in Chile and Argentina A. Donovan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2023.107774
- Application of smart systems and emerging technologies for disaster risk reduction and management in Nepal A. Dixit et al. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-07-2023-0085
- Editorial: Geoscience communication – planning to make it publishable J. Hillier et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-493-2021
- A national flood awareness system for ungauged catchments in complex topography: The case of development, communication and evaluation in New Zealand C. Cattoën et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12864
- The 2021 Western Germany flood event: The value of flood risk dissemination strategies and social media N. Matandirotya https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v14i1.1322
- Bridging gaps, saving lives: Integrating communities’ voices and impact mapping into flood early warning systems in rural Nepal A. Shrestha et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105238
- Stratigraphy of volcanic memory: Sociocultural dimensions of volcanic risk in the Southern Andes, Chile F. Vergara‐Pinto & A. Marín https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12474
- Contextualising seasonal climate forecasts by integrating local knowledge on drought in Malawi I. Streefkerk et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100268
- Situated science and the state: rethinking the role of Scientific Administrative Organisations in India’s Disaster Governance A. Ogra et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2026.104576
- Editorial: The shadowlands of (geo)science communication in academia – definitions, problems, and possible solutions S. Gani et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-251-2024
- Risk communication in Nepal: a scoping review of trends, gaps and future directions C. Bhandari et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1744196
- On the need of ensemble flood forecast in India J. Nanditha & V. Mishra https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100086
- Warning cultures in practice: Shadow systems in local flood risk governance J. Da Costa et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100513
- The added value of the process in climate services co-production: Lessons from Niger V. Tarchiani & M. Bacci https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100435
- Annual precipitation trends and flood estimation: a case of Shanghai City in China M. Khan https://doi.org/10.1080/1573062X.2024.2423295
21 citations as recorded by crossref.
- An Agent-Based Model for Simulating Flood Governance and Community Resilience A. Zhu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mex.2026.103820
- Connecting hydrological modelling and forecasting from global to local scales: Perspectives from an international joint virtual workshop A. Dasgupta et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12880
- Urban Flood Hazard Assessment and Management Practices in South Asia: A Review B. Manandhar et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/land12030627
- Interdisciplinary research in hazards and disaster risk A. Donovan et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/27539687231183448
- A Novel Multilevel Conceptual Framework for Flood Risk Governance A. Stambekova & A. Seenath https://doi.org/10.1002/eet.70086
- Exploring challenges and opportunities in detecting emerging drug trends: A socio-technical analysis of the Canadian context E. Bouchouar et al. https://doi.org/10.17269/s41997-023-00842-w
- Managing cross-border eruptions: Insights from recent crises in Chile and Argentina A. Donovan et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2023.107774
- Application of smart systems and emerging technologies for disaster risk reduction and management in Nepal A. Dixit et al. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-07-2023-0085
- Editorial: Geoscience communication – planning to make it publishable J. Hillier et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-4-493-2021
- A national flood awareness system for ungauged catchments in complex topography: The case of development, communication and evaluation in New Zealand C. Cattoën et al. https://doi.org/10.1111/jfr3.12864
- The 2021 Western Germany flood event: The value of flood risk dissemination strategies and social media N. Matandirotya https://doi.org/10.4102/jamba.v14i1.1322
- Bridging gaps, saving lives: Integrating communities’ voices and impact mapping into flood early warning systems in rural Nepal A. Shrestha et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105238
- Stratigraphy of volcanic memory: Sociocultural dimensions of volcanic risk in the Southern Andes, Chile F. Vergara‐Pinto & A. Marín https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-5973.12474
- Contextualising seasonal climate forecasts by integrating local knowledge on drought in Malawi I. Streefkerk et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2021.100268
- Situated science and the state: rethinking the role of Scientific Administrative Organisations in India’s Disaster Governance A. Ogra et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoforum.2026.104576
- Editorial: The shadowlands of (geo)science communication in academia – definitions, problems, and possible solutions S. Gani et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-251-2024
- Risk communication in Nepal: a scoping review of trends, gaps and future directions C. Bhandari et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2026.1744196
- On the need of ensemble flood forecast in India J. Nanditha & V. Mishra https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wasec.2021.100086
- Warning cultures in practice: Shadow systems in local flood risk governance J. Da Costa et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100513
- The added value of the process in climate services co-production: Lessons from Niger V. Tarchiani & M. Bacci https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2023.100435
- Annual precipitation trends and flood estimation: a case of Shanghai City in China M. Khan https://doi.org/10.1080/1573062X.2024.2423295
Saved (final revised paper)
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 01 Jun 2026
Short summary
Early warning systems for natural hazards have the potential to save lives and improve people's resilience to disasters. However, challenges remain in disseminating and communicating more complex warnings with longer lead times to decision makers and individuals at risk. Research was undertaken to analyse and understand the current flood early warning system in Nepal, considering available data and forecasts, information flows, early warning dissemination, and decision-making for early action.
Early warning systems for natural hazards have the potential to save lives and improve people's...
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