Articles | Volume 2, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2-95-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.Telling the boiling frog what he needs to know: why climate change risks should be plotted as probability over time
Related subject area
Subject: Geoscience policy | Keyword: Risk communication
Cited articles
Braile, L.: M8.8 Chile Earthquake: Seismic/Eruption Views,
Seismicity, Main Shock-Aftershock Sequence, Purdue University,
available at: http://web.ics.purdue.edu/~braile/edumod/chile/chile.htm (last access: 24 May 2019), 2010.
Christidis, N., Jones, G. S., and Stott, P. A.: Dramatically increasing chance
of extremely hot summers since the 2003 European heatwave, Nat. Clim.
Change, 5, 46–50, https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2468, 2015.
De Meyer, K., Howarth, C., Jackson, A., Osborn, D., Rose, L., Rapley, C.,
Sharpe, S., and Welch, K.: Developing Better Climate Mitigation Policies:
Challenging current climate change risk assessment approaches, UCL Policy
Commission on Communicating Climate Science, Report 2018-01, available at:
https://www.ucl.ac.uk/public-policy/sites/public-policy/files/risk_workshop_report_final_0.pdf (last access: 24 May 2019),
2018.
IPCC (Collins, M., Knutti, R., Arblaster, J., Dufresne, J.-L.,
Fichefet, T., Friedlingstein, P., Gao, X., Gutowski, W. J., Johns, T., Krinner, G.,
Shongwe, M., Tebaldi, C., Weaver, A. J., and Wehner, M.): Long-term Climate
Change: Projections, Commitments and Irreversibility, in: Climate Change
2013: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the
Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by:
Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J.,
Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University
Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 1115 pp., 2013.
IPCC: Summary for policymakers, in: Climate Change 2014:
Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. Part A: Global and Sectoral Aspects.
Contribution of Working Group II to the Fifth Assessment Report of the
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Field, C. B., Barros, V. R., Dokken, D. J., Mach, K. J.,
Mastrandrea, M. D., Bilir, T. E., Chatterjee, M., Ebi, K. L., Estrada, Y. O., Genova, R. C., Girma, B., Kissel, E. S., Levy, A. N., MacCracken, S., Mastrandrea, P. R., and
White, L. L., Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 9, 2014a.