Articles | Volume 2, issue 1
Geosci. Commun., 2, 95–100, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2-95-2019
Geosci. Commun., 2, 95–100, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-2-95-2019

Research article 29 May 2019

Research article | 29 May 2019

Telling the boiling frog what he needs to know: why climate change risks should be plotted as probability over time

Simon Sharpe

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AC: Author comment | RC: Referee comment | SC: Short comment | EC: Editor comment
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AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (further review by editor) (08 Apr 2019) by Ed Hawkins
AR by Simon Sharpe on behalf of the Authors (08 May 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (15 May 2019) by Ed Hawkins
ED: Publish as is (15 May 2019) by Iain Stewart(Executive Editor)
AR by Simon Sharpe on behalf of the Authors (15 May 2019)  Author's response    Manuscript
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Short summary
Humanity's situation with respect to climate change is sometimes likened to that of a frog in a slow-boiling pot of water. But are we telling the frog what he needs to know? Most climate science is communicated to governments in the form of predictions of what is most likely to happen. I argue it should instead answer the following questions: what is the worst that could happen, and how likely will that become as time goes by? The risks and need to act will then become much clearer to see.
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