Quantifying and communicating uncertain climate change hazards in participatory climate change adaptation processes

Müller, Laura; Döll, Petra

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-121-2024

Articles | Volume 7, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-121-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Special issue:

Climate and ocean education and communication: practice, ethics,...

https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-121-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 7, issue 2

Research article

|

24 May 2024

Research article |

| 24 May 2024

Quantifying and communicating uncertain climate change hazards in participatory climate change adaptation processes

Laura Müller and Petra Döll

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/gc-7-121-2024-supplement

Data sets

Evaluations of the workshops 1, 2 and 3 in the participatory process of the project KlimaRhön L. Müller and M. Czymai https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7431706

Model code and software

Comparison of uncertainty visualization formats for participatory climate change adaptation processes Laura Müller https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.10400312

Scientific colour maps F. Crameri https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.1243862

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Short summary

To be able to adapt to climate change, stakeholders need to be informed about future uncertain climate change hazards. Using freely available output of global hydrological models, we quantified future local changes in water resources and their uncertainty. To communicate these in participatory processes, we propose using "percentile boxes" to support the development of flexible strategies for climate risk management worldwide, involving stakeholders and scientists.